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30 minutes ago

The Putin Payoff: Is Trump Fighting Iran in a Way Designed to Save Russia?

Linked to https://lansinginstitute.org/2026/10/21/the-putin-payoff-is-trump-fighting-iran-in-a-way-designed-to-save-russia/

People say it offhandedly all the time that Trump and Vance behave as agents for Putin/russia’s foreign policy aims, but this is a serious potential reality that needs to be interrogated and investigated.

The disinformation/misinformation I shared this article to push back on is the idea that Trump and Vance working as functional allies of Putin is in anyway an unreasonable conspiracy theory, rather it is a serious hypothesis that MUST be examined. It might not be true or the coordination may not really require conversation so much as a recognition of shared interests as this article argues, but it is a serious issue for the entire world and we need to stop talking about it like it is just an obvious thing everybody basically knows unofficially.

The conventional interpretation of Russia’s growing leverage over Washington has centered on Vladimir Putin’s exploitation of President Donald Trump’s poorly conceived military engagement with Iran to extract concessions on energy sanctions and Ukraine, particularly ahead of the November midterm elections. According to this interpretation, Moscow has recognized that rising oil prices, inflation, and public dissatisfaction with the administration’s handling of the Middle East could undermine Republican electoral prospects. Putin would therefore be positioned to offer limited cooperation on Iran, energy supplies, or diplomatic negotiations in exchange for Washington relaxing pressure on Russia. This interpretation captures some of Moscow’s immediate economic advantages, but leaves unexplained the broader pattern of American decisions that have repeatedly benefited Russian strategic interests, including decisions taken before the current energy crisis.

A more plausible interpretation would place greater emphasis on Russia’s active contribution to the conditions producing the crisis, alongside a series of Trump administration decisions that have facilitated Moscow’s recovery of economic and geopolitical influence. The critical issue concerns whether Washington’s concessions have represented reluctant responses to Russian leverage or reflected an existing preference within the administration for accommodation with Moscow, even when that accommodation has undermined American security interests. Such a distinction would fundamentally alter the assessment of Russia’s involvement in the Iran war, the administration’s treatment of Ukraine, and the growing vulnerability of America’s Gulf partners.

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The accumulation of these developments has raised the possibility of a broader political understanding between Trump and Putin concerning Ukraine, Iran, and the normalization of US-Russian economic relations.

Such an understanding would not necessarily require a formal agreement. It could emerge through repeated diplomatic exchanges in which both leaders recognized the benefits of accommodating each other’s priorities. Putin would receive reduced economic pressure, greater international legitimacy, and constraints on Ukrainian military capabilities. Trump would receive diplomatic initiatives, prospective business arrangements, and opportunities to portray cooperation with Russia as a means of addressing the energy crisis.

The most revealing aspect of this possibility has been the apparent asymmetry in concessions. Russia has continued its military operations against Ukraine and reportedly assisted Iran against American targets. Washington, meanwhile, has relaxed sanctions, criticized Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, and restricted capabilities important to Kyiv’s defense.

The possibility of a tacit accommodation deserves serious investigation because it could explain decisions that appear contradictory when evaluated individually. It could account for Washington’s minimization of Russian assistance to Iran while accepting Moscow’s participation in diplomatic initiatives. It could also help explain why the administration has continued pursuing business normalization despite the Kremlin’s involvement in activities that have directly harmed American security interests.

However, the available public record has not established a secret bargain or proved that Trump and Putin jointly planned the present crisis. Establishing such an arrangement would require documentary evidence, credible accounts of private negotiations, or a consistent record of reciprocal commitments.

The observable policy pattern has already raised substantial concerns. Washington has repeatedly made decisions favoring Russian economic and military interests while accepting considerable costs to its relationships with Ukraine and European allies.

How screening tools measure disadvantage may leave rural communities overlooked for public support

Linked to https://phys.org/news/2026-10-screening-tools-disadvantage-rural-communities.html

Researchers compared four environmental justice screening tools, which use data on factors such as income, pollution and health to identify communities that may need additional public support. Three were developed by the White House, the Department of Energy (DOE) and the Department of Transportation (DOT), while the fourth was developed by New York state.

Nationally, the DOE tool designated about 18% of census tracts as disadvantaged, compared with about 35% for the White House and DOT tools. In New York state, more than half of census tracts (51.3%) were identified as disadvantaged by at least one of the four tools, but only about 14% were identified that way by all four.

“We expected some differences, since each agency has its own mission. What surprised us was how large they were and how often they came from choices that aren’t obvious from the documentation,” said Qingran Li, assistant professor of economics at UNH’s Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics.

“The tools also disagreed more for rural communities, where resources tend to be more constrained, and investment may have historically lagged.”

This is US focused but I think there is a lot to chew on here that applies broadly.

Link to open access paper www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-77824-2

Given the growing emphasis on climate resilience and equity, ongoing research and refinement of EJST methodologies and applications are crucial. Variation in indicator selection and weighting across tools can produce substantial differences in DAC designations, complicating efforts to evaluate their policy implications.

For instance, consider a hypothetical but plausible scenario: a community qualifies for charging infrastructure subsidies under an energy department program but not for electric bus grants under a transportation department program, because the two agencies used different DAC designations.

Since charging networks and electric bus deployment are complementary investments that generate greater value when implemented together, such a case could reduce the synergistic impact of coordinated EJ programs. While documenting the real-world extent of this risk would require developing a counterfactual beyond the scope of this study, our findings highlight the importance of transparency in EJST methodologies for enabling more coordinated and effective EJ policy. Future research should examine different use cases of EJSTs across programs, including whether policy synergy across complementary investments should be considered in EJST applications, and what benefits a more coordinated approach would yield.

Although the Justice40 Initiative and several environmental grant programs have been scaled back or discontinued in 202554, the need for equitable resource distribution remains. State and local governments now carry greater responsibility for protecting vulnerable communities, and within the context of U.S. federalism, are well-placed to implement state-level structures. Transparent DAC screening tools are essential for guiding investments, land-use decisions, and resilience planning in the absence of consistent federal support.

A 10-year-old CNN outperforms frontier LLMs for skin cancer diagnosis

Linked to https://lynchlab.net/llm-skin-cancer

The lesions come from MILK10k, a public dataset released through the International Skin Imaging Collaboration in 2025, in which each lesion is photographed twice: a clinical close-up and a dermoscopic image taken through the illuminated magnifying lens dermatologists use. I drew 200 lesions at random, all confirmed by histopathology:

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You can try the CNN yourself. Remarkably the model is small enough to run entirely in a phone browser using WebGPU. Nothing is uploaded, and its random sample button draws from these same 200 lesions.

This again is part of a deluge of stuff about AI I get the fatigue but this is a wonderful specific example you can play with yourself that demonstrates the headlines that “AI is better at X than humans” should be ALWAYS treated with extreme skepticism, not just for the validity of the tests but also the validity of the basic framing and messaging surrounding results that “confirm” AI is superior.

This article/test also demonstrates that the basic technology behind “AI” really isn’t that new, which means the implications really aren’t that new either…

Characterizing an LLM-driven Social Network: The Case of Chirper.ai | Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction [Evidence of how toxic behavior is driven by bots]

Linked to https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3816910

I share this paper because it shows exhaustively how as much as humans tend towards aggravating one another into more and more negative engagement… this is a thing bots do to a far FAR greater extent.

Previous HCI research has focused on explaining the relationship between human interaction and the appearance of harmful behaviors [36, 83]. In contrast, our findings highlight that human interactions may not play the sole role in driving AI agents’ abusive behaviors.

In the case of Chirper.ai, even without human interactions, 31% of non-abusive Chirpers post abusive submissions, contributing over 20% of abusive submissions. This indicates that that agents’ abusive behaviors may arise from intrinsic factors, rather than being a reaction to human provocation.

Thus, moderation paradigms that prioritize reactive measures to human-centered content [21, 34] may be insufficient for AI agent ecosystems, where harmful outputs emerge organically from models.

Additionally, our results suggest that abusive posts draw more active engagement from other agents, catalyzing them to produce more abusive comments through content parroting (§5). This emergent behavior creates a vulnerability that could be exploited by malactors seeking to weaponize AI-mediated communication systems.

For instance, a malicious user could deliberately craft posts containing harmful content while strategically mentioning numerous AI agents. Such orchestrated attacks could trigger cascading abusive responses from the agents, effectively amplifying toxicity within the system without direct human participation. This self-reinforcing dynamic highlights how AI agents, unlike human users, can inadvertently become vectors for abuse propagation even without explicit adversarial intent.

Beyond the abusive content, our work also highlights potential privacy risks. Particularly, there are two dimensions to such risks.

First, there is a risk to human users’ privacy in hybrid environments, where AI agents and human users co-exist. For example, prior research shows that trending topics and online communities’ behaviors can impact users’ self-disclosure patterns [12, 18]. Our results show that AI agents propagate sensitive information revealing patterns such as age, gender, and relationship information [27]. Thus, this may make human users more susceptible to sharing similar information [38]. Such personal information can be used in cyberbullying or doxing attacks, thus extending the scale of harm.

Second, there is a risk to the creators of AI bots. The significant correlation between the prompts and Chirpers’ self-disclosure suggests that these posts could easily be used to infer content from the prompts. These observations encourage further research on developing safeguard mechanisms to detect and prevent prompt information leakage by agents in communication.

How to Live in a World on Fire: Algorithmic Exploitation, Mutual Aid, and the Struggle for Resilient Futures | Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction

Linked to https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3816944

Our comparative analysis unfolded through an iterative process of analytic memoing and bi-weekly discussions over several months. This sustained engagement enabled us to trace recurring patterns across sites while remaining attentive to local specificities. The case studies—airline surge pricing during Hurricane Helene, the restricted deployment of Starlink in disaster zones, and the collapse of Texas’s power grid during Winter Storm Uri—were selected not only for their illustrative value but also for their nearness to our lives. Together, these cases illustrate three algorithmic modes of disaster capitalism: computational price exploitation, infrastructural fragility from deregulated predictive systems, and privatized control over essential connectivity. They also show how practices of mutual aid and collective refusal emerge in response to these computational shortcomings. Critically, while this paper focuses on U.S.-based cases shaped by our own lived experiences and research contexts, we recognize that disaster capitalism and mutual aid take radically different forms globally. We do not claim universality, but rather offer these cases as situated provocations toward broader inquiries into the intersection of algorithmic harm and grassroots resilience.

Our methodological approach—combining autobiographical proximity with discourse analysis of news coverage, government reports, and organizational communications—necessarily privileges breadth over depth. We trace how algorithmic systems and mutual aid responses were publicly framed and narrated, rather than offering the thick description that ethnographic immersion would provide. This scope means we do not capture the full complexity of on-the-ground organizing: the interpersonal negotiations, the contested decisions, the moments of friction and failure that characterize any collective endeavor. We view our contribution as complementary to future ethnographic work that would attend more closely to the situated practices and emergent governance structures of mutual aid networks in crisis contexts.

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These responses illuminate a fundamental contrast with the logics of algorithmic extraction. Where surge-pricing algorithms treated evacuation as a marketplace—translating desperation into demand signals and vulnerability into profit—mutual aid networks operated under an entirely different calculus. Transportation was allocated based on need rather than ability to pay; resources flowed toward those most at risk rather than those with the greatest purchasing power. The crowdfunding efforts that covered bus tickets for strangers enacted a form of collective risk-pooling that inverted the individualized burden imposed by dynamic pricing. Rather than optimizing for revenue extraction during peak demand, these networks optimized for collective survival, demonstrating that the “efficiency” claimed by algorithmic systems is always efficiency for particular ends—and that communities can organize around radically different ends when given the chance. Moreover, these efforts were not simply reactive. Still, they drew on pre-existing relationships and infrastructures of care, underscoring that mutual aid is not ad hoc but relies on the slow, ongoing work of building trust and solidarity before disaster strikes.

The persistent issue of surge pricing during mandatory evacuations raises critical ethical questions about fairness, accessibility, and corporate responsibility. However, the response to Hurricanes Helene and Milton also underscored the power of mutual aid in filling the gaps left by disaster capitalism. As climate change intensifies the frequency and severity of natural disasters, such community-led initiatives will remain essential in ensuring that disaster relief prioritizes human lives over profit (particularly when regulation fails to rein in the practice). By supporting and strengthening mutual aid networks, communities can build resilient systems of care that counteract the exploitative practices of algorithm-driven markets.

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Firstly, algorithmic forecasting systems failed to anticipate the scale of the demand surge during the storm. ERCOT’s reliance on historical data for predictive modeling proved inadequate for an event outside typical parameters, a phenomenon often described as the “black swan” problem in computational analytics [23, 130]. This failure underscores the risks of over-reliance on machine learning models without accounting for rare but high-impact scenarios [75, 134].

Secondly, digital control systems—which manage the distribution of electricity—struggled to respond to the cascading failures within the grid. Automated mechanisms designed to balance supply and demand instead triggered widespread rolling blackouts, as they were unable to distinguish between recoverable outages and critical failures. While efficient under normal circumstances, this automation amplified the crisis by prioritizing grid stability over localized human needs [23, 59].

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Scholars like Pasquale and O’Neil [96] argue that the secretive nature of algorithms often undermines public trust and exacerbates feelings of helplessness during crises, as affected populations struggle to understand or challenge the decisions made by computational systems. The opacity of algorithmic decision-making often leaves affected populations with little recourse to address grievances or to understand why specific neighborhoods experienced longer outages than others. Scholars argue that this “algorithmic opacity” can undermine trust in public institutions and exacerbate feelings of helplessness during crises [96, 134].

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Perhaps most significantly, these responses revealed what algorithmic opacity had obscured. While affected residents struggled to understand why their neighborhoods faced extended outages, mutual aid networks operated through radical transparency: needs were articulated openly, resources were tracked collectively, and decision-making was visible to participants. This transparency was not incidental but constitutive—mutual aid depends on shared knowledge and trust in ways that proprietary algorithmic systems, by design, do not. By leveraging existing social networks and local knowledge, Austin’s residents demonstrated that resilience emerges not from computational optimization but from the slow accumulation of relational infrastructure—the very forms of care work that market-oriented systems consistently devalue.

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We contribute to CSCW by advancing what we call infrastructures of mutuality, a way of linking critique of algorithmic exploitation with design orientations inspired by mutual aid. Across our cases, we show that the systemic failures of surge pricing, privatized satellite connectivity, and deregulated energy markets are not aberrations but constitutive features of algorithmic systems optimized for profit. These systems translate vulnerability into market opportunity, thereby reproducing disaster capitalism. In contrast, mutual aid emerges not as a stopgap or ad hoc tactic, but as a generative counter-logic. It demonstrates how infrastructures can be oriented toward relationality, transparency, and reciprocity, directly challenging the opacity and exclusion embedded in algorithmic systems. Extending critical and reflective traditions in CSCW, we describe infrastructures of mutuality as the design and maintenance of systems that both meet immediate needs and enact alternative social relations. Drawing from practices of care and commoning, this orientation highlights how computing might support solidarity, redundancy, and collective governance, rather than transactional optimization. In doing so, we seek to move beyond the descriptive reframing of market-driven crisis informatics and toward an approach that researchers and designers can actively adopt in theorizing, evaluating, and creating technologies for resilience.

I think this paper is really interesting because it places algorithms designed by corporations in contrast with mutual aid in a simple but generative way that illustrates well how suffering and confusion are often a product of the architecture of systems (designed this way intentionally or not).

Israel’s election won’t change the renewed reality of political apartheid

Linked to https://www.972mag.com/palestinian-citizens-israel-political-apartheid/

Sami Abu Shehadeh, a former Knesset member and chair of the Palestinian nationalist Balad party, was initially disqualified on Sept. 23 by Israel’s Central Elections Committee (CEC) on the basis of an article he published a day after October 7.

In it, he described the Hamas attacks as a historic event that should not have come as a surprise — and argued that if “small, besieged Gaza” could prevent Israeli intelligence from infiltrating its parties and political movements, “then others can do it more effectively and simply.” The Central Elections Committee interpreted his remarks as an endorsement of the attack and support for armed struggle, despite the absence of evidence establishing such support.

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Although the long-term implications of this decision remain uncertain, the immediate outcome is significant. It illustrates an emerging structure of political apartheid inside Israel: Palestinian citizens retain formal electoral rights and parliamentary representation while the boundaries of their political leadership, national identification, and collective political claims are increasingly defined and restricted by state institutions dominated by the Jewish majority.

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The asymmetry becomes particularly striking when considering that requests were also submitted to the CEC to disqualify Ben Gvir and his Otzma[ Yehudit party. One petition, filed on Sept. 14 by the Zulat Institute for Equality and Human Rights together with former senior government officials and legal scholars, sought their exclusion on grounds including incitement to racism. A separate petition was submitted by the Democrats party.

Yet the CEC voted by a wide margin to allow Ben-Gvir and his party to participate in the election — a sign of the racism that sets the limits of political expression and representation within Israel’s electoral and judicial institutions.

The planet’s vital signs are getting worse. One of the easiest fixes is your diet.

Linked to https://grist.org/food-and-agriculture/the-planets-vital-signs-are-getting-worse-one-of-the-easiest-fixes-is-your-diet/

One way of doing that, clearly, is producing and eating less meat. “I think this is an important opportunity for climate action that sometimes gets overlooked,” said Ripple. “Shifting toward more plant-based diets, especially in countries with high meat consumption, could make a meaningful difference.”

Raising cattle for human consumption is also one of the main drivers of deforestation, which contributes to warming by eliminating carbon sinks. Timothy Searchinger, a senior research scholar at Princeton University who studies the relationship between agriculture and the climate, noted that “we can’t solve climate change unless we stop” such clearing of carbon-rich habitats, “and we probably cannot stop that unless the world’s wealthy eat less meat, and particularly less beef.” (Searchinger was not involved in the report.)

He added, “Just eating 1.5 hamburgers a week on average instead of 3 is one of the basic ways Americans can help address climate change.”

‘Hereness’: What the forgotten history of Jewish anti-Zionism can teach us today

Linked to https://www.middleeasteye.net/discover/hereness-what-forgotten-history-jewish-anti-zionism-can-teach-us-today

“Opposition to Zionism was as obvious to the Bund as opposing fascism and any other nationalist violence: Jewish nationalism was just as ugly, just as contemptuous as any other,” Eyshe Beirich, who translated an upcoming collection of Yiddish Bundist writings, We, Traitors, told MEE.

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Reflecting on Theodor Herzl’s The Jewish State, Arendt wrote in 1946: “Only when we come to see ourselves as part and parcel of a world in which we, like everybody else, are engaged in a struggle against great and sometimes overwhelming odds, and yet with a chance of victory, however small, and with allies, however few… only then will we be able to rid the world of its nightmarish quality.”

For anti-Zionist Jews like Moser, the role for these conscious pariahs is now more important than ever.

An open access paper linked in this article goes into depth on aspects of this in a well thought out way.

academic.oup.com/isagsq/article/2/3/…/6672592?log…

*longer quoted section of paper*

> Whatever their differences, Schulman and Galili share a set of implicit understandings regarding a peculiarly “Jewish” wordlessness vis-à-vis the theory and practice of armed conflict. > For both, this wordlessness is tied both to an account of the broad arc of Jewish history and the challenges that late-modern politics was said to pose to Jewish individual and collective survival. That wordlessness was not specific to Hebrew; it included the vernacular languages most Jews actually spoke.9 Prior to the founding of Ma’arakhot, Galili’s collaborator and protégé Gershon Rivlin noted in 1988 that no “clear, precise, Hebrew-language military terminology” existed.10 For his part, the author Isaac Bashevis Singer told the Nobel Prize Committee in 1978 that the Yiddish language, being both landless and stateless, “possesse[d] no words for weapons, ammunition, military exercises, [or] war tactics.”11 Such wordlessness contrasted sharply with other aspects of the Jewish Diaspora, in which texts, words, and arguments were said to function as a kind of “travelling homeland.”12 > That metahistorical narrative can be summarized as follows: these languages had no such words because Jews had not needed them—at all events, not since the suppression of the final Judaean revolts in the second century CE.13 In the intervening millennia, it was said, Jews had embraced a Diaspora existence predicated on political quietism, prayer, and faith. Power politics, sovereignty, and worldly glory had given way to divine service: a life lived (as the Rabbinic expression put it) within “the four cubits of the Torah.”14 > “The greatness of this people,” Hannah Arendt wrote in a widely cited letter to Gershom Scholem in 1963, “was once that it believed in God, and believed in Him in such a way that its trust and love towards Him was greater than its fear.”15 That break—the historical moment that came after Arendt’s “once”—marked the passage into a new kind of “homogenous empty time,” which only new words and new worldly political visions could fill.16 As Nick Onuf (and before him, J.L. Austin) has noted, “turning the ineffable into the prosaic—into moderate-sized dry goods” is a primary function of such language.17 > On this account, the question of Jews and their relationship to power politics was not merely a matter of acquiring new practices, values, or habits. The “house of language” in and through which Jews lived was so configured as to stymie the emergence of a shared, worldly political vision. Latter-day Jewish princes—whether subtle Machiavellian “foxes” or would-be “Hebrew hammers”—could not accept this.18 How could one lead soldiers into battle, voters to the polls, or workers to the barricades without the confidence and mastery of words? How could one build a political or military power base without a comparable reservoir of tactical expertise, strategic vision, and practical-operational savoir-faire?19 … > One response to this problem was to develop broad programs of literary translation. By the 1940s, a variety of such efforts had been underway for some eight decades. The result was a range of new offerings and forms: novels, essays, penny books, epic and lyric poetry, historical works, weekly and daily newspapers. A range of reference works also appeared in this period: dictionaries, encyclopedias, literary anthologies, and style guides. > These functioned as “bridges,” the historian Israel Bartal has explained, “between the traditional text and new texts”—between Hebrew as a medium for the interpretation of divine revelation and as a medium for mimetic–rhetorical representation.23 > Translation, it was believed, would extend the language’s “reach” into new fields, forcing the creation of new words and literary styles, and would raise up a new generation of Hebrew-language writers and “wordsmiths.” It would also widen readerships by placing a range of contemporary materials on offer, from novels to general nonfiction to technical and specialist literature in a host of fields.24 The aim of these efforts, the editor and ideologue Berl Katznelson (1887–1944) noted, was to “bequeath” a revived Hebrew language to an emergent Hebrew nation.25 > The process by which Hebrew was vernacularized—transformed and/or reinvented, from a vehicle largely reserved for the “ineffable” into a medium of everyday social and political use—has been studied extensively across a range of fields: literary and political theory, structural and historical linguistics, rhetoric, and translation studies. > That scholarship informs much of the analysis that follows. However, this article recasts such scholarship along two lines. > > First, much of that work is retrospective and critical-demystificatory in perspective and orientation. The existence of Hebrew as a capacious “national” vernacular—as a set of conventions, words, and perspectives through which the common experience of a world may be sustained or must be defended—is taken for granted; it is the “problem” whose artificiality the critic wishes to recover and/or underscore, post facto. The obligation to do this follows from the myopias, doxologies, and exclusions to which it gives rise, and from the violence in which it is implicated or complicit: not least, in the discursive and physical destruction of Arab Palestine.26 > > Alternatively, such work tends to the more purely descriptive, retracing the migration and/or emergence of a variety of those conventions, words, and perspectives and the processes that brought them into being.27 > The present project proceeds along different lines, but hopefully not orthogonal ones. The current state of Hebrew as a technical and/or aesthetic medium and the limits of its communicative possibilities are not questions I take up directly. My interest is rather in the moment before this medium had fully come into being—when Hebrew was not yet what it is now said to be. For matters of strategy and security, that “before” time corresponds roughly to E.H. Carr’s Twenty Years’ Crisis: the decades between the world wars, in which the Zionist movement increasingly understood itself as a project committed to a sovereign national state in Palestine.28 > Then as now, Hebrew’s “narrowness” was a matter of great concern. However, “narrowness” at that time meant the fear that it might never acquire the figurative capacity to represent the entirety of a political–historical “lifeworld.” It is perhaps closer to the fear that Hebrew might become a kind of second Esperanto—what if we invent new words, but no language emerges? > Put differently, the Hebrew authors in whom I am interested were actively committed to a language of expression that was itself a source of doubt and unease. It was not only that they struggled to express themselves in it, although that was certainly the case. It was also that the means of such expression did not wholly exist, and perhaps never would: “our dormant language,”to paraphrase the literary historian Zohar Shavit, was not yet “wholly revived.”29 For them, Hebrew lay closer to Eco’s disiecta membra (“scattered fragments”), as described in the third epigraph earlier: the “sinews” of a language that had not quite emerged, rather than an autonomous discourse that “spoke through” those interpellated by it. > That moment is important, I will argue, not only for what it can tell us about the Israel–Palestine conflict. It is important as well for what it might say about the figurative limits of language and reflexivity in the context of late-modern security politics more generally. The imperative to “nationalize” Hebrew followed from an acute sense of crisis in which the existing terms of political discourse felt radically insufficient. That feeling is what drove the search for new ones. The remainder of this article considers the messiness and indeterminacy of that effort—the will to a kind of discursive power—in the context of a growing body of work that considers political realism as both a series of artful-rhetorical, and expert-technical, performances.30

Are transgender sports bans really about protecting women? Survey data tells a different story

Linked to https://theconversation.com/are-transgender-sports-bans-really-about-protecting-women-survey-data-tells-a-different-story-293927

If admiration and support for female athletes drive support for prohibiting transgender women from participating in women’s sports, then those who favor Title IX should also favor bans. Instead, 43% of Title IX supporters favored restrictions, compared with 70% of Title IX opponents.

Our findings – that negative attitudes toward women and opposition to Title IX predict support for banning transgender women from sports that match their gender identity – hold even after accounting for other factors like partisanship, ideology and demographic characteristics.

The debate over transgender athletes is often framed as a matter of protecting women. Our findings complicate that narrative: People with the most negative attitudes toward women – and toward policies that protect women’s sports – are the most supportive of banning transgender women from women’s sports.

America Is About to See What Happens When Voters Turn to AI

Linked to https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/10/ai-midterm-election-voters-chatbots/689103/?gift=jVZ1W3yQqvMLrlr3pDls15RQ2XQmEi7Tx72P26Ukv_E

If you were wondering whether AI could make the midterms even more confusing, here’s one data point: Several people who thought they were donating to James Talarico unwittingly gave their money to someone else. Talarico, a Texas Democrat, is running for Senate in what’s probably the most closely watched race of the upcoming elections. Search Google for how to contribute to his campaign, and you might get an AI-generated answer that links to ways “you can chip in securely.” Until a few weeks ago, one of those featured links was actually controlled by an unrelated political-action committee that sent the money instead to the reelection campaign of another Democrat: Senator John Hickenlooper of Colorado.

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In a forthcoming report, Forum AI, a start-up that evaluates AI models’ performance on questions about controversial topics, found that about 40 percent of chatbots’ answers to election-related questions contained at least one factual inaccuracy. When Forum’s researchers asked one widely used model when they needed to request a mail-in ballot to vote in the midterms in Pennsylvania, the chatbot said November 3. The actual deadline is a week earlier. (Forum did not specify the precise AI model.) In the same report, shared with The Atlantic ahead of its publication, Forum determined that about one in three responses cited an unreliable information source, such as posts on Reddit or Quora. Google’s Gemini answered a question about why America’s global power is declining by citing an article from People’s Daily, a Chinese state-run news outlet. “These aren’t trick questions,” Campbell Brown, a co-founder of Forum AI, told me. “There’s no excuse for chatbots to keep getting them wrong.”

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On the right, the Center for Campaign Innovation has published research on how AI models respond to questions about candidates and the sources they most often cite. “We’re campaigning for the AI vote now,” Eric Wilson, the group’s director, told me.

Some of the most effective “sloptimization” tactics are simple, though not always obvious. “Most candidates we talked to were not filling out Ballotpedia profiles,” Jordan Haines, Run for Something’s chief technology officer, told me, referring to the online repository of election information. “They were like, ‘Eh, no one really reads that.’” Most voters may not be visiting Ballotpedia in droves, but it turns out that their chatbots are. LLMs also love websites with dot-gov domains, both Haines and Wilson told me. That could lend an advantage to incumbents, who can use their official House.gov or Senate.gov web pages to seed messaging for chatbots to pick up on. Challengers, though, might find AI answers easier to sway, because there’s often less information about them in the public record

Fear-based campaign ads can grab attention, but whether they win votes is less clear

Linked to https://theconversation.com/fear-based-campaign-ads-can-grab-attention-but-whether-they-win-votes-is-less-clear-292574

Political attack ads – fear messaging being one type – have a shakier record. A review of more than 100 studies found no dependable evidence that negative campaigning wins elections, and some evidence that it lowers positive feelings toward the candidate who sponsors it.

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Fear does its most reliable work when it attaches to a stereotype voters already carry. The 1988 presidential race provides two classic examples.

One controversial ad, produced in support of Republican George H.W. Bush, showed a mugshot of a Black man. The ad named the man, Willie Horton, and a voiceover explained that he’d committed rape and assault while on a weekend furlough from prison as part of a program run under Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis, the Democratic candidate. The spot linked fears about crime to race without saying so directly.

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Political scientist Tali Mendelberg’s research described in “The Race Card” shows that these implicit appeals to prejudices and fears are powerful. But they lose much of their force once someone publicly names them as racial. Implicit appeals work because they slip past most voters’ commitment to racial equality; once the racial message is pointed out, voters recognize it and many reject it rather than see themselves as endorsing prejudice.

Gender works in a similar way.

In a national experiment, Public Policy researcher Mirya Holman and colleagues found that when campaign messages triggered fears of terrorism, voters turned to their stereotypes of strong leaders as masculine. Those stereotypes hurt a female Democratic candidate, while Republican candidates of either gender were unaffected, since Republicans are already seen as tough on security.

A message communicating a threat does not need to name a candidate’s identity to disadvantage them. It simply makes voters reach for the stereotypes they already hold.

Israeli Strike on Iran Is IMMINENT | w/ Trita Parsi | BreakThrough News - Youtube(Invidious link)

Linked to https://inv.nadeko.net/watch?v=ct9AtZhoNKE

Trita Parsi puts the odds of a new round of US-Israeli war on Iran at 90% – and it could start as soon as this weekend. The US and Israeli militaries have plans for renewed strikes after the midterms, the New York Times reports; three aircraft carriers are en route to the region, and Netanyahu, trailing ahead of Tuesday’s elections, says he’s ordered Israel’s military and Mossad to topple Iran’s government. Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, tells Rania Khalek and Zoe Alexandra why Trump’s third round will be far worse than the first two.

Parsi argues that Trump, initially driven by hubris, is now out for revenge against a Tehran he believes is deliberately dragging out the war to destroy his presidency. He explains why time is on Iran’s side; how Washington is spinning the war of attrition in the Strait of Hormuz; why soaring gas prices make the war impossible to tune out; and why even European conservatives say the protests sweeping the continent are fueled by the war’s economic fallout. Parsi warns Netanyahu may see escalation as the Hail Mary pass he needs to lock in his legacy, and says that if Democrats take control of Congress, they’ll have the power to stop this – and will be complicit if they don’t.

Do not believe the eerie nonchalance much of the world has about this, this is serious and pointless. Look at the incentive structures alligning here, it isn’t good.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ct9AtZhoNKE